There is a tool that solves this problem, and it has been sitting in the public domain, free for anyone to use, for nearly three decades.
Where the Tool Came From
The tool is a short questionnaire, sometimes called the REBRO Short Form, first developed in the late 1990s. In its original version, it ran twenty to twenty-five questions and took considerable time to administer. In 2011, researchers refined it down to just ten questions, cutting administration time to roughly six minutes.
That is the entire commitment required: six minutes, ten questions, no license fee, no proprietary software to purchase or maintain. Because the questions themselves are in the public domain, any employer, adjuster, or claims team can use them without paying anyone for the privilege.
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The questions are not complicated. They ask about pain burden, emotional state, and physical function on a simple numeric scale. How much has pain interfered with daily activities over the past few days? How tense or anxious has the person felt recently? The answers sort respondents into low, medium, and high risk categories based on decades of accumulated data.
What Nearly Three Decades of Use Has Shown
The reason this tool matters is not the questions themselves. It is what happens when you track outcomes against those answers consistently over time. Used systematically, the tool predicts long-term disability and failed return-to-work with roughly 89 percent accuracy. That figure is not the result of a small pilot study or a single company’s internal data. It reflects information gathered over more than two decades of use across a wide range of employers, industries, and injury types.
Roughly 12 to 13 percent of people who take the assessment land in the high-risk category. That figure lines up closely with something most experienced claims managers already sense but rarely quantify with real data: a small share of claims consistently accounts for a disproportionate share of total program cost. This tool does not just confirm that pattern exists in the abstract. It identifies, claim by claim, which specific cases are likely to fall into that expensive category, while there is still meaningful time to intervene.
Why So Few Programs Actually Use It
If a free, six-minute, nearly-thirty-year-proven tool exists, the obvious question is why it is not already standard practice across the industry.
Part of the answer is simple visibility. Many claims teams have genuinely never been introduced to it, or they assume predictive screening requires expensive software licenses and a dedicated data science team to interpret results. Part of the answer is sequencing. The tool works best when layered on top of solid claims fundamentals already in place, such as injury triage, prompt reporting, and active return-to-work coordination, rather than as a substitute for those basics. Programs that have not yet built strong fundamentals sometimes skip formal screening altogether, assuming it will not help without more infrastructure already in place.
Neither of those reasons holds up particularly well once the tool’s actual track record is understood. It is not a replacement for good claims management practices. It is a genuinely low-cost way to know, with real measurable accuracy, exactly where to focus attention first.
Putting It to Work
A few practical steps make this tool immediately usable inside an existing claims program. Introduce the assessment two to four weeks after the injury occurs, particularly for claims that are not progressing the way you would expect. That specific timing window is where the tool’s predictive value tends to be strongest.
Pair the formal questionnaire with an informal read on the employee’s overall engagement, including whether appointments are being kept and communication is ongoing, rather than relying on the questionnaire results in isolation. Route any claims that score in the high-risk category toward additional support quickly and deliberately. The value of identifying risk early disappears almost entirely if the actual response takes months to materialize.
Track outcomes against assessment results consistently over time within your own program. The published accuracy rate only holds up if the tool is used consistently and the results genuinely inform action rather than sitting unused in a file.
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The Real Point
A screening tool this old, this simple, and this thoroughly documented should not remain a hidden advantage available only to a few sophisticated programs. It should be standard practice across the industry. Programs that put it to consistent use gain something most competitors are still guessing at with far less precision: a clear, early, and statistically validated signal of which claims genuinely need additional help before they become the expensive ones driving up total program cost.
Contact: mstack@reduceyourworkerscomp.com.
Workers’ Comp Roundup Blog: http://blog.reduceyourworkerscomp.com/
Injury Management Results (IMR) Software: https://imrsoftware.com/
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FREE DOWNLOAD: “5 Critical Metrics To Measure Workers’ Comp Success”











